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Snapshot 4:Thu, Aug 8, 2024 4:30:21 PM GMT last edited by Brian

Biden Not Confident of Orderly Power Transfer if Trump Loses

Biden Not Confident of Orderly Power Transfer if Trump Loses

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The Spin

GivenIt's hisnot trackjust recordTrump ofrepeating underminingthis theanti-democracy electoralrhetoric; process,his Donaldwhole Trumpcampaign cannotstrategy beis trustedbased toon ensureit. aOne peacefulof transferhis oftop poweradvisors inrecently Januarystated 2025.that Heteam hasTrump persistentlywon't castaccept doubtany on election results, spreadinguntil unfoundedInauguration claims of voter fraudDay, particularlysuggesting regardingit mail-inwill ballots.be ThisTrump behavior,and aimedonly atTrump delegitimizingwho elections,is posessworn ainto threatoffice tonext theyear. democraticThe traditionpro-Trump ofRepublican peacefulParty transitions.has Thisbecome signalseerily acomfortable potentialwith forthis significantlanguage, disruption and forthe underminingAmerican thepublic integrityshould ofbe theaware democraticof processit.

Donald Trump's norm-breaking actions are more spectacle than substance. There is absolutely no evidence that he seeks to unconstitutionally seize power. The real danger lies in neglecting underlying social and economic issues. Focusing on exaggerated threats of tyranny distracts from addressing economic inequalities and social justice, which are the true sources of political instability. And that is the real threat to US democracy, not Trump.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 25% chance the United States become a dictatorship by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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