Versions :<123456Live>
Snapshot 2:Thu, Aug 8, 2024 1:57:06 PM GMT last edited by Brian

Biden Not Confident of Orderly Power Transfer if Trump Loses

Biden Not Confident of Orderly Power Transfer if Trump Loses

Above: **Watermarked Getty Image. Kindly Replace** Image copyright: Chip Somodevilla/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • US Pres. Joe Biden is not confident of a peaceful transition of power if the Republican candidate, former President Donald Trump, loses the presidential election.

  • "I'm not confident at all," Biden told CBS News in an interview -- to be aired Sunday -- when asked if he was confident of an orderly power transfer in January.


The Spin

Given his track record of undermining the electoral process, Donald Trump cannot be trusted to ensure a peaceful transfer of power in January 2025. He has persistently cast doubt on election results, spreading unfounded claims of voter fraud, particularly regarding mail-in ballots. This behavior, aimed at delegitimizing elections, poses a threat to the democratic tradition of peaceful transitions. This signals a potential for significant disruption and for undermining the integrity of the democratic process.

Donald Trump's norm-breaking actions are more spectacle than substance. There is absolutely no evidence that he seeks to unconstitutionally seize power. The real danger lies in neglecting underlying social and economic issues. Focusing on exaggerated threats of tyranny distracts from addressing economic inequalities and social justice, which are the true sources of political instability. And that is the real threat to US democracy, not Trump.

A peaceful transfer of power is crucial for upholding democracy and the rule of law. It signifies a society governed by laws, not individuals, and maintains national stability. Joe Biden’s transition planning, despite Donald Trump's refusal to concede and baseless claims of voter fraud, highlights the importance of a smooth handover. Without it, national security and effective governance are jeopardized, especially during crises like the pandemic. Ensuring an orderly transition respects voters' will, preserves global credibility, and prevents chaos, showcasing America's commitment to democratic principles and the peaceful exchange of leadership.


Metaculus Prediction



Sign up to our daily newsletter