Versions :<123456789Live
Snapshot 9:Thu, Aug 8, 2024 2:14:59 PM GMT last edited by Adam

Thailand's Constitutional Court Dissolves Move Forward Party

Thailand's Constitutional Court Dissolves Move Forward Party

Above: Pita Limjaroenrat, leader of Thailand's Move Forward Party, gives a speech to supporters during a Pita on the Beach event on July 22, 2023 in Pattaya, Thailand. Image copyright: Lauren DeCicca/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Thailand's top court ordered the dissolution of the Move Forward Party (MFP) on Wednesday over its pledge to reform the country's royal defamation law during last year's election campaign. The ruling is final and can't be appealed.

  • The court in Bangkok unanimously ruled that the party had sought to "undermin[e] the monarchy" by pushing for amendments to Section 112 of the Criminal Code, following a request from the election commission for the Constitutional Court to consider dissolving the MFP.

  • The ruling also banned 11 senior figures of the MFP from political office for 10 years, including former leader Pita Limjaroenrat and current chief Chaithawat Tulathon.

The Spin

TheThis MFPruling committedsets treasona bydangerous campaigningprecedent. toNot brainwashgiving Thaithe youthprogressive intoMove scrappingForward theParty royalan defamationopportunity lawto anddefend weakeningitself, theand monarchy.punishing While the constitutiongroup upholdsand theits rightleaders, towill freecause speech,more criticismthan in14M badpeople faithwho isvoted afor punishablethem offense.to Thislose rulingfaith hasin dealtThailand's apolitical heavysystem. blowWhile to the party's anti-military,reboots anti-business,under anda anti-democraticnew agendaname and sentleadership, athe strongruling messageindicates that anyonethere's attemptingno tohope createfor conflictchange. betweenRoyalist theinstitutions monarchyin andThailand thewill peopleremain willin facea repercussionspermanent state of paranoia.

This rulingis setsanother ablow dangerousto precedent.Thailand's Notpro-democracy givinggroups. theThe progressiveConstitutional MoveCourt Forwardjust Partysided anwith opportunitythe tocountry's defendpowerful itself,conservative andforces punishingto thekeep grouptheir andgrip itson leaders,power willby causemaking morethe thancontentious 14Mlaw peopleand whothe votedmonarchy forsacrosanct. themThe tofact losethat faiththe incourt Thailanddidn'st politicalhave system.jurisdiction Whileto rule on the partycase, rebootsyet underit adug newin nameits andheels leadership,against the ruling indicates that thereelectorate's nowill, hopeshows forthat change.Thailand Royalistis institutionsstill infar Thailandfrom willachieving remaina inconsensus aon permanentappropriate statesources of paranoiapolitical legitimacy.

ThisThe isMFP anothercommitted blowtreason by campaigning to Thailand'sbrainwash pro-democracyThai groups.youth Theinto Constitutionalscrapping Courtthe justroyal sideddefamation withlaw and weakening the country'smonarchy. powerfulWhile conservativethe forcesconstitution toupholds keepthe theirright gripto onfree powerspeech, bycriticism makingin thebad contentiousfaith lawis anda thepunishable monarchy sacrosanctoffense. TheThis factruling thathas thedealt courta didn'theavy haveblow jurisdiction to rulethe onparty's theanti-military, caseanti-business, yetand itanti-democratic dugagenda inand itssent heelsa againststrong themessage electorate's will, shows that Thailandanyone isattempting stillto farcreate fromconflict achievingbetween athe consensusmonarchy onand appropriatethe sourcespeople ofwill politicalface legitimacyrepercussions.

TheThis Thairuling monarchysets suffersa thedangerous mostprecedent. fromNot giving the lèse-majestéprogressive law-relatedMove controversies,Forward asParty thesean issuesopportunity constantlyto dragdefend theitself, unifyingand nationalpunishing institutionthe intogroup politicaland conflictsits thatleaders, itwill shouldcause transcend.more Thethan court's14M rulingpeople doesn'twho sayvoted thefor lawthem isto unamendable,lose butfaith ratherin reinforcesThailand's thepolitical ideasystem. thatWhile the processparty mustreboots beunder donea innew goodname faith.and Parliamentleadership, not political parties, must discuss and improve the lawruling toindicates servethat thethere's reveredno monarchyhope amidfor changingchange. stateRoyalist dynamicsinstitutions in itsThailand inaction will harmremain thein countrya topermanent thestate point of no returnparanoia.

ThereThis is another blow to Thailand's apro-democracy 45%groups. chanceThe thatConstitutional ThailandCourt willjust experiencesided awith successfulthe coupcountry's dpowerful conservative forces to keep their grip on power by making the contentious law and the monarchy sacrosanct. The fact that the court didn'etatt beforehave 2040jurisdiction to rule on the case, accordingyet toit dug in its heels against the Metaculuselectorate's predictionwill, communityshows that Thailand is still far from achieving a consensus on appropriate sources of political legitimacy.

The Thai monarchy suffers the most from the lèse-majesté law-related controversies, as these issues constantly drag the unifying national institution into political conflicts that it should transcend. The court's ruling doesn't say the law is unamendable, but rather reinforces the idea that the process must be done in good faith. Parliament, not political parties, must discuss and improve the law to serve the revered monarchy amid changing state dynamics — its inaction will harm the country to the point of no return.

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!