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"There’s nothing wrong with trying to influence an election. It’s called democracy."

"The [hush money] charges here are absurd."

"This is a joke! It's an affront to the American Constitution. It's an affront to our judicial system."

"The indictment of Donald Trump is wholly political and baseless."

"I don't think he's getting convicted. I think there will be a hung jury."

"Trump may not be convicted of a felony in the case, and if he is, there’s a reasonable chance of an eventual reversal on appeal."

"He could be looking at jail."

"I believe that he will be found guilty on all charges."

"[N]o matter who you are," New York "cannot and will not normalize serious criminal conduct."

Donald Trump "will be the most unpopular person in that Manhattan courtroom," and "the jury... will convict him."

Will Trump Be Criminally Convicted in the Hush Money Case?

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"We are confident that the fair-minded Supreme Court will unanimously affirm the civil rights of President Trump, and the voting rights of all Americans."

"[T]he legal arguments against disqualification are ultimately unsound, and most are very weak."

"[M]y bet is that... even the liberal justices will lean toward allowing voters to decide whether Trump is fit to be president."

Barring Trump from public office "would be the mildest of punishments."

The Jan. 6 riot "is something that could disqualify him, under our rules, and under the constitution."

"The former president's efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election, and the resulting attack on the US Capitol, place him squarely within the ambit of the disqualification clause."

"[A] plain and fair reading of Section 3... demonstrates that Trump is constitutionally disqualified from holding future public office."

"I think it's really actually very clearcut... [Section 3 is] in general language, and so it applies to anyone who incites an insurrection or rebellion."

Will Donald Trump Be Disqualified From Holding the Presidency?

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There's a 1% chance that before November 5th, 2024, Donald Trump will successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Metaculus #

Trump Appeal Hush Money Verdict

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SCOTUS Declines to 'Intervene' in Trump's Hush Money Case

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SCOTUS Declines to 'Intervene' in Trump's Hush Money Case

SCOTUS Declines to 'Intervene' in Trump's Hush Money Case

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