Russian advances are taking place in Ukraine because the country's defenders have insufficient weapons and equipment. The West must speed up shipments and lift the restrictions on long-range weapons in order to support the defense of the nation against Russian aggression.
The roots of the Ukraine conflict stem from trying to turn the country into a force to weaken Russia. As long as that aim continues, so too will Russia's Special Military Operation, along with its associated military gains.
There is a 25% chance that Russia will have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine by January 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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