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Hamas Political Leader Ismail Haniyeh Killed in Iran

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The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 25% chance, that a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days will be agreed to before November 5th, 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0