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Snapshot 1:Wed, Jul 31, 2024 7:57:50 AM GMT last edited by Kani

Hamas Political Leader Ismail Haniyeh Killed in Iran

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JUL 2024

Image copyright: ATPImages/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Imagesstory last updated JUL 2024

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 25% chance, that a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days will be agreed to before November 5th, 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

The Controversies

Status:Resolved

Will Iran Attack Israel?

AUG 30 2024AUG 30 2024

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