Snapshot 4:Tue, Jun 11, 2024 12:28:54 PM GMT last edited by Vandita

Gaza: UN Security Council Adopts US Cease-Fire Proposal

Gaza: UN Security Council Adopts US CeasefireCease-Fire Proposal

Published JUN 11 2024

Gaza: UN Security Council Adopts US Cease-Fire Proposal

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Above: Members of the United Nations Security Council listen as Representative of the United States to the UN, Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield speaks during a meeting on the situation in the Middle East. Image credit: Michael M. Santiago/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

The resolution's adoption is a majorsignificant success for US diplomacy, but doubts remain, as Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has already indicated that he will continue military operations until Hamas is defeated. Moreover, parts of the Israeli government reject elements of the plan, which is in line with what Hamas demanded in a previous round of failed negotiations and also provides for a two-state solution. The US must now convince not only Hamas but also Israel to seize the opportunity for peace.

wapo

While it now plays peacemaker, it was the US that used its veto power to block several earlier resolutions calling for an immediate Israeli-Hamas ceasefirecease-fire. OnlyAlso, due to international pressure did Washington abstainabstained from a March vote in March, enabling the adoption of a ceasefirecease-fire resolution. Meanwhile, another US veto blocked a Palestinian application for full UN membership. It can hardly be assumed that Washington will now pressure Israel to agree to the ceasefire resolution.

AL

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 97% chance that the International Criminal Court will bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.