Israel'sGantz waris againsta Hamasstrong continuescontender to worsentake the nationNetanyahu's situationposition, leadingthough tohis internalexit collapse.from Thethe currentunity wargovernment cabinetwill prioritizesmean politicalNetanyahu survivalhas overless theroom countryto maneuver in regard to his far-right allies. However, Gantz's welfareNational Unity party still has a slight lead on Netanyahu, resultingeven if the premier is gaining in irrationalthe decisionspolls. AGantz's cease-firemain flaw is essentialthat tohe recoveris Israel'sa economypatriot, internationalbut relations,his anddealings societalwith stabilityNetanyahu since his entrance into politics have toughened him up. WhatGantz ismust criticalbe ready to avoidingget thehis country'shands implosiondirty isif thehe ousterwants ofto Israel'sunseat existing leadershipNetanyahu.
Netanyahu'sAll decliningGantz popularityhas done is strengthen his enemies and policiesweaken havehis drawnown globalpolitical criticismposition. Leaving the war cabinet was a pointless gesture, yetand Bennynow Gantz's replacinghas himno isdirect unlikelyinfluence toon significantlyIsraeli changepolicy. IsraelGantz's Gazastunt policies.may Whilehave Gantzcost mightIsrael managea UShostage tiesdeal, betteras andextremists belike openItamar toBen-Gvir dialoguewill withhave Palestinianmore leaders,influence. heGantz is unlikelya tolame pushduck forwho awill two-stateamount solution,to whichlittle he believes in butthe maycoming lackmonths the power of convictionturbulent todomestic see throughpolitics.
There'sThe adebate 50%in chanceIsrael, thatthe BenjaminUS, Netanyahuand willthe ceaseWest tomore bebroadly primeis ministercompletely divorced from the material reality of Israelthe byPalestinian March 2025people, accordingwho care little about which brand of Israeli leader is bombing them and which corrupt technocrat is chosen to run the MetaculusPalestinian predictionAuthority. communityPalestinians want to be free in their homeland, yet their dreams are purposefully ignored by US and Israeli leaders who would rather force Palestinians into submission.
There's a 50% chance that Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be prime minister of Israel by March 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0