It's not the first time that Russian warships are visiting Cuba, nor do the naval exercises pose an immediate threat. Moscow's primary goal is to prove that it is still capable of globally projecting its military power, and its failure to notify the US of the drills proves its hostile stance. However, Moscow's aging fleet, already struggling to maintain operational readiness and conduct deployments, reveals that Russia is overestimating itself in its expansionist policy.
ThereThe isRussian amilitary 9%drills chanceare offirst warand betweenforemost a testament to the UStraditionally close and friendly Russia-Cuba beforeties. 2050It would be ironic for the US to exaggerate the maneuvers, accordingas it is the US that deploys its military around the globe at will to protect its "rules-based order." Although the Metaculuswarships' predictionpresence communityposes no threat to the US, it is a powerful reminder that the world entered a multipolar age and that the US, with its proxy wars, has never been more vulnerable.
There is a 9% chance of war between the US and Russia before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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