Lavrov's Africa tour highlights the growing strategic relevance Russia attaches to Africa and its growing popularity on the continent. Moscow is building on its anti-imperialist legacy and positions itself as a credible partner unlike the West and its neo-colonialist and imperialist policies. This Mutual trust creates a win-win situation with Moscow consolidating its position in the international arena while African countries gain a partner respecting their national sovereignty.
ThereRussia's increasing commitment to Africa is aprimarily 40%due chanceto its growing international isolation following its Ukraine invasion. For years, the US warned that BurkinaRussia Fasois willaggressively experienceseeking ato civilexpand warits beforeinfluence 2036in Africa - without achieving any tangible success in combating Islamist terror. Moscow presents itself as an advocate for poor African countries, accordingbut tois merely pursuing the Metaculusgoal predictionof communitysecuring the loyalty of authoritarian regimes at the expense of the West.
There is a 40% chance, that Burkina Faso will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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