Scientists warn that India's cyclone season is intensifying due to the rapidly warming Indian Ocean. Cyclones in recent years like Tauktae and Yaas caused widespread disruption and mass evacuations. Rising sea temperatures, particularly in the Arabian Sea, are leading to more frequent and severe cyclones.
Anticipating tropical cyclones is crucial for preparation. Studies show that cyclone speeds and their intensity are often underestimated by existing forecasting systems, although forecast accuracy has improved. Ongoing improvements in forecasting models and physical representations aim to enhance disaster preparedness in future.
There is a 50% chance of 2.827˚C global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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