Marijuana ought to be legalized, even for recreational use. Its legalization could reduce disproportionate penalties and contamination risks. Such a move would undercut drug cartels and the illegal market, although aggressive regulation and enforcement must be put in place, too.
Marijuana legalization has been a policy failure, with limited impact on reducing incarceration and no evidence of reducing racially discriminatory policing. The rise in non-casual users, with around 16M Americans suffering from marijuana use disorder, highlights the potential for personal degradation.
There's a 50% chance that legal international trade in recreational cannabis will take place by 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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