Repurposed Russian profits are necessary not only to finance the ongoing war effort but also to ensure the successful rebuilding of Ukraine once the conflict is over. With much needed future reparations and the cooperation of Putin and Moscow hard to imagine, the West must therefore act proactively. Russian warnings against illegitimate behavior are the height of hypocrisy – the West must do what is right to protect Ukraine.
The EU and Euroclear's ability to hold and make use of frozen Russian assets is legally dubious and incredibly damaging to international confidence in the West's financial institutions. By using profits which are rightfully Russian, a dangerous and irreversible precedent will be set that the US and Europe should seriously consider before making any rash decisions.
There is a 70% chance either the US or EU will seize sovereign Russian assets in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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