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Snapshot 3:Fri, Apr 12, 2024 8:08:49 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Speaker Mike Johnson to Meet Trump at Mar-a-Lago

Speaker Mike Johnson to Meet Trump at Mar-a-Lago

Image credit: *** GETTY *** Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

The Spin

...On top of not being the solution, ousting Mike Johnson from speakership would effectively be counterproductive. After the chaos that followed Rep. Matt Gaetz's motion to remove Kevin McCarthy, the GOP cannot afford more turmoil ahead of an already uphill battle in the 2024 election.

ThereMike Johnson has already abandoned his constituents to work alongside the Democrats, so what's athe 65%point chancein thatworrying Mikeabout Johnsonhow willhis remainremoval Speakercould forimpact allfuture ofHouse 2024leadership? As it stands, accordingit would be better — or at least less harmful — for Republicans to thevote Metaculushim predictionout communityand prevent further bad legislation.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 65% chance that Mike Johnson will remain Speaker for all of 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0