The Oslo Accords, signed in 1993, aimed to establish peace between Israel and Palestine but have failed due to various factors like settlement expansions and leadership issues. To rectify this, a paradigm shift is crucial, starting with recognition of Palestinian statehood and equal negotiations. The current imbalance must be corrected for a just and lasting peace, potentially through global arbitration mechanisms. Prioritizing Palestinian statehood will pave the way for meaningful negotiations.
Some European nations' move to push for an official recognition of a Palestinian state contradicts efforts for mutual Israeli-Palestinian recognition within the two-state solution framework. This lacks legal and historical basis, especially as Palestinian leadership fails to meet essential statehood criteria. It could embolden terrorism and be detrimental to regional stability.
There is a 50% chance of Israel recognizing Palestine by Nov. 18, 2061, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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