Controversy
Christopher Waller
Polymarket
J.P. Morgan
Bank of America
Nomura
CIBC Private Wealth
24/7 Wall St.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
+3
Status:Open

Will the US Federal Reserve Raise its Benchmark Interest Rate Again Before 2027?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)“With regard to the outlook for monetary policy beyond the current meeting, most participants assessed that another increase in the target range for the federal funds rate would likely be appropriate by year end.”Oct 07, 2026
Christopher Waller
Christopher Waller"The projections submitted at the September meeting showed that a large majority of FOMC participants believe it will be appropriate to raise rates at least once more this year."Oct 08, 2026
Polymarket
Polymarket"As per Polymarket, there is a 78% chance of another Fed hike in 2026."Oct 08, 2026
"The firm has pushed back the second hike in its forecast to December and sees a strong chance that the FOMC will ultimately conclude that additional rate hikes are unnecessary."Oct 08, 2026
Bank of America
Bank of America"BofA Global Research now expects three rate increases of .25% each in 2026, starting in September."Apr 12, 2024
marketwatch.com
marketwatch.com"Markets now think the Fed will skip a move at its October meeting and then hike in December."Oct 08, 2026
UBS Global Wealth Management
UBS Global Wealth Management"We expect only one further rate increase in December and believe resilient economic growth and robust corporate earnings should help equities withstand moderate policy tightening."Oct 08, 2026
24/7 Wall St.
24/7 Wall St."Traders price an 85% chance of at least one more Fed hike by December, but give October only a 19% probability."Oct 08, 2026
CIBC Private Wealth
CIBC Private Wealth"The majority of Fed officials expect one more rate increase this year."Sep 17, 2026
Nomura
Nomura"A hike in December by the US Federal Reserve followed by an extended hold through 2027, while the market has priced in three more rate increases."Oct 07, 2026
J.P. Morgan
J.P. Morgan"Following a 25 basis point rate hike in September, markets are anticipating at least one additional increase before year-end."Oct 08, 2026
Forbes
Forbes"Currently, markets see the most likely path as holding rates steady in October, a hike in December and then one or two more hikes probably coming in 2027."Oct 08, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley"But in addition to this increase that we just saw at the September FOMC meeting, we now expect two additional rate hikes, in December and in March."Oct 08, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1