Polymarket

Polymarket

Polymarket is a United States-based decentralized prediction market platform. It allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events.

Claims from Polymarket

Polymarket"There is an 19% chance that the Iranian regime will fall before 2027."May 04, 2026

Controversy:Will the Islamic Republic of Iran Experience Regime Collapse by 2027?

Polymarket"There is a 2% chance that China will invade Taiwan by June 30th, 2026."Apr 28, 2026

Controversy:Will There be a Military Crisis in the Taiwan Strait in 2026?

Polymarket"There's a 32% chance Keir Starmer will remain Prime Minister in 2026."May 01, 2026

Controversy:Will Keir Starmer Remain Prime Minister Through to the End of 2026?

Polymarket"There is a 48% the Republican Party will win the US Senate in 2026."Apr 24, 2026

Controversy:Will Republicans Maintain Control of the Senate After the November 2026 Midterm Elections?

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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1