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Will Chinese Home Prices Stop Declining by the End of 2027?

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Claims

Last Updated 4 hours ago

Zichun Huang"We don't expect housing prices to stabilize before the end of 2027."Dec 05, 2025

Goldsea

AASTOCKS"The [Citi] bank believes 2027 will be a key year for home price recovery in core cities, supported by reduced new supply and inventory levels."Oct 02, 2026

Aastocks

AMRO"Tier 1 cities are projected to record a 1.4 percent increase, while Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities are expected to decline 0.3 percent and 1.1 percent."Jan 15, 2026

Amro

Fitch Ratings"Fitch expects average selling prices to decline by around 2% and gross floor area sold to fall a further 7%–8% in 2027."Oct 02, 2026

Fitchratings

Trading Economics"In the long-term, the China Newly Built House Prices YoY Change is projected to trend around 0.30 Percent in 2027 and 0.50 Percent in 2028, according to our econometric models."Oct 02, 2026

Tradingeconomics

UBS Global Wealth Management"We expect property sales, new starts, and investment to decline by 5-10% in 2026 and 0-5% in 2027."Oct 02, 2026

Ubs

Hui Shan“Could see another 10% correction before stabilising around 2027 if China follows a typical housing bust path."Oct 02, 2026

Scmp

Hilo Research"Hilo Research says 2027 home prices will rise +2% YoY in first-tier cities while lower-tier cities stay flat."May 13, 2026

Hilo Research

GRAI"Home prices expected to fall 4.0% in 2026 before flattening in 2027."Apr 29, 2026

Internationalreal

Alvin Huang"Property prices expected to rise 5% in 2027."Oct 02, 2026

Specialist

Bloomberg"Bloomberg Economics reckons China’s property slump could bottom out in 2027."Mar 23, 2026

Reuters"Home prices are forecast to fall 0.3% in 2027 after May poll projected 0.3% rise."Oct 02, 2026

Reuters

"We Expect a Mild Rebound in Home Sales and Average Prices in 2027."Oct 02, 2026

Morningstar

FutureSearch"China’s average new-home price index across the NBS 70-city survey is unlikely to post a year-on-year increase in any month of January–June 2027, with the forecast implying roughly an 8% chance of YES."Sep 22, 2026

Futuresearch

Goldman Sachs"If China follows the typical timeline of housing busts around the world, there might be another 10% drop in home prices ahead, and real prices may not bottom out nationwide until 2027, the team cautions."Jan 08, 2026