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Will Annual Global Humanoid Robot Shipments Exceed 1M Units by 2030?

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Bank of America"Annual humanoid robot shipments are projected to reach 1.2 million in 2030 and 10 million by 2035."Jun 23, 2026

Bankofamerica

Boardroom"Falling costs and rising investment are speeding up the shift, with annual shipments expected to scale from 90,000 units in 2026 to 1.2 million by 2030.⁠"Jun 09, 2026

Facebook

SAG"By 2030, SAG expects shipments to scale to 810,000 units and revenue to reach US$8 billion, sustaining a strong double-digit CAGR."Jun 23, 2026

Businesswire

ABI Research"Annual shipments will jump significantly year-over-year throughout the rest of the decade and reach 195,000 units at the end of the forecast window [2030]."Jul 23, 2025

Abiresearch

TrendForce“Global humanoid shipments will not surpass the 100,000-unit milestone until around 2032."Aug 26, 2025

TrendForce

Interact Analysis“The new Humanoid Robots – 2026 report from the market intelligence specialist predicts the long-term commercial inflection point will take place in 2032, with shipments exceeding 700,000 units in 2035 and market revenue reaching approximately $15 billion."May 21, 2026

Interact Analysis

IDC"According to IDC, global shipments of humanoid robots are expected to exceed 510,000 units by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 95%."Apr 23, 2026

IDC

Alexander Perry“While we don't expect any significant near-term contribution from Optimus, we see potential long-term opportunity, and our team forecasts global humanoid robot shipments of 1.2 million/10 million globally by 2030/2035."Jun 08, 2026

Yahoo Finance

Statista"Between 2026 and 2030, annual global humanoid robot shipments were forecast to rise from 90,000 to 1.2 million units, indicating rapid early‑stage market expansion."Apr 27, 2026

Statista

BCG"Analyst projections for the humanoid robotics market by 2030 range from under 1 million annual units to more than 6 million."Jun 23, 2026

Bcg

Deloitte"Nonetheless, even as early as 2030, we could see an inflection point with annual new robot shipments doubling from current levels to reach 1 million a year, with projected revenues of US$21 billion in 2030, almost twice 2024 levels."May 27, 2026