Controversy
Status:Open
When Will Quantum Computing Become Commercially Viable?
>20 YEARS< 5 YEARS
Claims
Keithen Drury"While 2026 won't be the year that it reaches the mainstream, it's likely that there will be several impressive breakthroughs in the field."Jan 06, 2026
Anthony Di Pizio"Companies like Rigetti are still a long way from commercializing their quantum platforms at scale."Dec 26, 2025
Julian Kelly“We think we’re about five years out from a real breakout, kind of practical application that you can only solve on a quantum computer.”Mar 25, 2025
William D. Oliver“Advancing from discovery to useful machines takes time and engineering, and it’s not going to happen overnight... [but] getting in the game is happening right now with quantum.”Dec 09, 2025
McKinsey & Company"We found that by 2035, quantum computing could be worth $28 billion to $72 billion, quantum communication could be worth $11 billion to $15 billion, and quantum sensing could be worth $7 billion to $10 billion—for a total of as much as $97 billion. "Jan 13, 2026
Jensen Huang“If you said 15 years for very useful quantum computers, that would probably be on the early side... If you said 30, it’s probably on the late side. But if you picked 20, I think a whole bunch of us would believe it.”Jan 08, 2025
IBM"By 2029, we will deliver IBM Quantum Starling — a large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computer capable of running quantum circuits comprising 100 million quantum gates on 200 logical qubits. "Jan 13, 2026
Alan Baratz"D-Wave took a different approach, which has allowed us to become commercial today and likely many years ahead of other quantum computing companies."Jan 13, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0