Claims
Frank Gargano"Bankers fear that a recession will likely happen in both the U.S. and global economies."Jan 21, 2026
Edward Yardeni“Our odds of a severe correction or a bear market, triggered by either recession fears or an actual recession, remain low at 20%.”Jan 01, 2026
Bankrate"Economists say the U.S. economy has a solid chance of sidestepping a recession again in 2026 — at least for now. "Jan 08, 2025
Greg Rosalsky"Most forecasters believe that, despite some headwinds, the odds are that the economy will not enter a recession this year."Jan 06, 2026
Scott Anderson"Recession risks over the coming year have eased modestly as tariff rates have dropped and the Fed has resumed their rate cuts to stabilize the U.S. labor market."Jan 08, 2025
U. S. Chamber of Commerce"We won’t have a recession this year unless a large shock occurs, like a pandemic or global financial crisis. "Jan 06, 2026
Brian Moynihan“While any number of risks continue, we are bullish on the U.S. economy in 2026.”Jan 14, 2026
The Vanguard Group“We expect strong capital investment to remain a principal strength in the year ahead, supporting GDP growth above 2% in 2026.”Jan 14, 2026
Torsten Slok"It is indeed the case that this stagflationary scenario is beginning to become more the issue that we had in the last few months, and we are beginning to turn more optimistic on the outlook as we look into 2026."Jan 10, 2026
Investopedia"While economists may not see a recession coming in 2026, the public isn’t so sure."Dec 31, 2025
The GuardianThe world economy is expected to avoid a downturn in 2026, despite the rise in trade barriers in 2025.Jan 04, 2026
Terry Lane"Most economists expect the U.S. economy to grow in 2026, thanks to the effects of the “One Big, Beautiful Bill” Act and increased AI spending. "Dec 31, 2025
J.P. Morgan"[J.P. Morgan] estimate there is a 35% chance America and the world will enter a recession in 2026."Jan 06, 2026
Goldman Sachs"The probability of a recession in the next 12 months has fallen from 30% to 20%."Jan 15, 2026
Bloomberg"Even the most bearish firm — BCA Research, which warns of a potential US recession — stays neutral on stocks for now on the tailwind of AI’s huge capital expenditure."Jan 01, 2026
The Street"Bank of America forecasts stronger‑than‑expected economic growth in 2026, though the bank also acknowledges its prediction is more optimistic than consensus.” Dec 29, 2025
Deloitte"Although the contraction in business investment is significant, it is considerably smaller than contractions seen in previous recessions. "Jun 25, 2025
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0