Controversy
Status:Open
Will the Democratic Party of Korea Secure the Most Seats in the 2026 South Korean Local Elections?
UNLIKELYLIKELY
Claims
Seoul Economic Daily"The Democratic Party's rosy early-election forecast of sweeping up to 15 of 16 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial races is beginning to wobble. Analysts now say even victory in North Jeolla Province — a traditional party stronghold — is no longer guaranteed."May 11, 2026
Seong Han-yong"Will the Democratic Party clinch another landslide victory in the upcoming election? If public sentiment keeps moving the way it has been, I believe it will."Mar 10, 2026
Reuters"The PPP currently controls 12 out of South Korea's 16 local governments but looks unlikely to hold on to the seats."May 23, 2026
struct"There is a 98.1% chance that the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections."Feb 11, 2026
The Diplomat"South Korean President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating stands at 59.8 percent, according to Real Meter’s latest survey, and the ruling Democratic Party (DP) enters the June 3 local elections as the overwhelming favorite."May 05, 2026
Lines“There is a 34.5% chance that the Democratic Party of Korea will win exactly 13 of 17 seats.”May 23, 2026
The Korea Times"What once appeared to be a near-certain landslide victory for the ruling Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) is becoming more competitive as the June 3 local elections approach, with conservative candidates narrowing the gap in several key battlegrounds."May 10, 2026
The Asia Business Daily"The Democratic Party of Korea is leading the People Power Party by a significant margin outside the margin of error in the political landscape of Gongju, South Chungcheong Province."Jan 05, 2026
Korea JoongAng Daily"It remains to be seen whether the ruling party will achieve an easy victory in the local elections."May 05, 2026
PredictionPulse"There is a 95.55% chance that the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) will win the 2026 South Korean local elections."Mar 22, 2026
Hankyoreh"65.4% [of] respondents estimated that the Democratic Party would emerge victorious, compared to 19% predicting the PPP would."May 23, 2026
PUM"The Democratic Party is expected to win a landslide victory in the Metropolitan Area, Honam and Jeju, hold a Democratic Party advantage in Chungcheong and Gangwon, maintain a Democratic lead in a close race in the PK region, and hold an outside-the-margin lead in Daegu."Apr 26, 2026
Polymarket"There is a 98% chance that the Democratic Party of Korea will win the South Korean Local Elections."May 23, 2026
The Korea Times"Several polls show the DPK candidates are leading, but the outcome is not certain, as the PPP has fielded incumbent chiefs in Seoul and Incheon and a high-profile candidate in Gyeonggi Province."May 04, 2026
Prediction Circle"The market strongly favors Democratic Party of Korea (DP) at 98%, with a commanding lead over the field."May 22, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 7.4.1