Polymarket
Polymarket is a United States-based decentralized prediction market platform. It allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events.
Claims from Polymarket
Polymarket"There is a 56% chance that Javier Milei win Argentina's October 2027 presidential election."Oct 12, 2026
Polymarket“As of October 6, 2026, Polymarket’s prediction market gave Marine Le Pen a 43% chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election, compared with 18% for Édouard Philippe.”Oct 06, 2026
Polymarket"Current markets place roughly 82% on release by Oct. 31, 2026 and 91% by Nov. 30, 2026."Sep 30, 2026