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Will Green Hydrogen Infrastructure Reach $2/kg or Less by 2030?

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Last Updated 1 week ago

"By 2050, the Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) is projected to drop from $6.6/kg in 2030 to $1/kg, while the Levelized Cost of Ammonia (LCOA) decreases from $593/ton to $418/ton."Jan 21, 2026

Sciencedirect

"Clean hydrogen production costs by 2030 are expected to range from $1.2-3.5/kg for low-carbon hydrogen and $3-11/kg for renewable hydrogen, depending on region and feedstock."Apr 01, 2025

Driving Hydrogen

Ersin Akyuz"The cost of green hydrogen produced from renewable energy sources is expected to decrease to 2–9 $/kg by 2030."Jan 20, 2026

Sciencedirect

Power Info Today"Industry forecasts indicate continued cost reductions approaching 1 dollar per kilogram by 2030 in optimal locations, potentially achieving cost parity with gray hydrogen without carbon pricing."Oct 28, 2025

Powerinfotoday

"Chile has the world's best solar irradiation in the Atacama Desert, enabling some of the lowest green hydrogen production costs as low as $1.8/kg by 2030, as projected by the chilean Ministry of Energy."Sep 30, 2025

Market Data Forecast

"Chile could crank out 160 million tonnes of green hydrogen every year, with levelized costs dropping to USD 0.8/kg in the north and USD 1.0/kg in the south by 2030. "Oct 10, 2025

Hydrogen Fuel News

IEA"Green hydrogen costs dropping to USD 2-9/kg by 2030."Jul 10, 2025

Yahoo Finance

"Green hydrogen costs are projected to fall dramatically from the current $3-8 per kilogram to $1-2 per kilogram by 2030, achieving cost parity with grey hydrogen and making it commercially viable across multiple sectors without subsidies."Dec 17, 2025

SolarTech

Michael Liebreich"Green hydrogen costs of $1.80 to $4/kg in most countries of the world by 2030, but that does not reflect financing conditions in the second half of this year, which have deteriorated."Jul 16, 2025

BloombergNEF

RMI"Green hydrogen production costs could fall below $2 per kilogram in many locations in the next five years."Sep 02, 2025

RMI

ScienceDirect "Economically, green hydrogen is becoming more competitive, with its levelized cost decreasing from $6/kg in 2018 to $3–4/kg in 2024, and projections indicating a further drop to $1.50/kg by 2030. "Jan 20, 2026

Sciencedirect

"India is aiming to become the world’s lowest-cost producer of green hydrogen by reducing production costs from $4.5 per kg to $1 per kg by 2030."Nov 27, 2025

ETEnergyworld.com

IEA"The price of fossil gas could rise or carbon pricing could make fossil fuel-based hydrogen more expensive. Or large-scale deployment of green hydrogen could bring the cost per kilo down from the $4-$12 Aramco’s Nasser cited to $2-$9 by 2030. "Jan 20, 2026

Will Green Hydrogen Infrastructure Reach $2/kg or Less by 2030?

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