Controversy
Bjorn Lomborg
Goldman Sachs
IEA
McKinsey & Company
S&P Global
Alexandra Merz
BCG
ABI Research
Ernst & Young
AlixPartners
+5
Status:Open

Will EVs Exceed 50% of Global Sales by 2030?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

McKinsey & Company
McKinsey & Company"As EV prices decrease and more models become available, EV ownership will reach a broader swath of the vehicle-owning population, encompassing more than 10% of sales by 2025 and 20 to 30% of sales by 2030."Sep 21, 2026
ABI Research
ABI Research"By 2030, 49% of all vehicles sold will be electric, up from just 7% in 2025."Sep 21, 2026
Ernst & Young
Ernst & Young"From 13% today, EVs could make up 55% of total global vehicle sales by 2030."Mar 01, 2024
Alexandra Merz
Alexandra Merz"EVs will make up between 62% and 86% of global car sales by then [2030]."Nov 09, 2025
IEA
IEA"Electric vehicle sales [will] reach over 30 million in 2025 and over 70 million in 2030, a total of approximately 30% and 60% of all vehicle sales, respectively."Nov 09, 2025
Harvard Gazette
Harvard Gazette"The estimated percentage of 2030 new car sales that would be made up of EVs from 32% to 38%."Sep 18, 2026
Citigroup
Citigroup"Such a pace would lift global EV adoption to 33% by 2030, with the U.S. at 37%, Europe at 40% and China at 48%."Sep 21, 2026
BloombergNEF
BloombergNEF"From 13% today, EVs could make up 55% of total global vehicle sales by 2030."Sep 21, 2026
Craig Ransley
Craig Ransley"By 2030, we’re staring at 55–60% global EV penetration – not 40%."Nov 09, 2025
UBS Global Wealth Management
UBS Global Wealth Management"Given the long time horizon and uncertainty about many moving parts, a 17-23% EV share in 2025 and 40-60% in 2030 fall within our base case."Mar 12, 2021
AlixPartners
AlixPartners"That age will eventually melt, with the Outlook forecasting 36% of global sales will be plug-in electrified vehicles in 2030."Sep 21, 2026
S&P Global
S&P Global"The global Electric Vehicle share of light-vehicle sales may rise to more than 50% in 2030, from an estimated 17% in 2023."Jan 10, 2024
BCG
BCG"The global BEV share will rise to 45% in 2035, and will reach 54% in the US, 58% in China, and 62% in the EU."Nov 03, 2025
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs"Goldman Sachs Research now expects EVs to be 25% of global sales in 2030, down from a previous forecast of 28%."Sep 11, 2025
Bjorn Lomborg
Bjorn Lomborg"In 2030, just 13% of new cars sold will be electric; the majority will still be petrol, with diesel and hybrid at 18% each."Nov 09, 2025
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley"The team expects global EV penetration, a key driver of battery installation, to accelerate from 3.1% in 2020 to 44.2% by 2030 and to 86.7% by 2040."Sep 21, 2026
Wood Mackenzie
Wood Mackenzie"Wood Mackenzie expect EVs to make up 35% of total car sales by 2030, up from 17% today."Sep 21, 2026
Omdia
Omdia"EV sales will continue to grow throughout the decade, with Canalys forecasting that EVs will represent 48% of all new cars sold in 2030."Sep 21, 2026
Deloitte Insights
Deloitte Insights"EVs would secure approximately 32% of the total market share for new car sales [by 2030]."Jun 11, 2025
"By 2030, we forecast EVs will account for 40% of global auto sales – more than five times the number of EVs sold in 2022."Oct 15, 2022


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1