Controversy
Status:Open
Will Argentina's Annual Inflation Rate Fall Below 20% in 2026?
UNLIKELYLIKELY
Claims
OECD"Average headline inflation is projected at around 31% for 2026 and around 16% for 2027. "Jun 11, 2026
BBVA Research"Inflation resumed its downward trend during the second quarter, and we expect it to end 2026 at 29%, supported by exchange rate stability, lower financial volatility, and the continuation of fiscal discipline."Jul 07, 2026
Goldman Sachs"You’re going to see more progress on inflation in Argentina, with the rate expected to moderate to 23% from 32%."Feb 05, 2026
Nicolás Misculin"Inflation is projected to end the year at 29.8%, according to the median forecast, down 0.2 percentage point from the prior estimate."Sep 11, 2026
The Rio Times"Argentina’s monthly inflation fell to 1.9 percent in June, the first sub-2% reading since August 2025, as the first half of 2026 totalled 16.8 percent and the annual rate hit 33.5 percent."Jul 15, 2026
Buenos Aires Times"Economists surveyed by the Central Bank in June forecast a 2026 year-end inflation rate of 30%, down from 30.5%, in the previous survey, with growth of three percent."Jul 14, 2026
Polymarket"There is a 22% chance that Argentina's annual inflation rate will fall below 20% over the 12-month period ending December 2026."May 09, 2026
Deloitte"Inflation, which peaked near 300% in 2024, is projected to fall to 29.4% in 2025 and 13.7% in 2026, supported by tight monetary policy and credible nominal anchors."Jan 16, 2026
The Rio Times"Argentina’s central bank market survey (REM) raised the 2026 inflation forecast to 29.1%."Apr 09, 2026
La Derecha Diario“We forecast a further slowdown to 20% in 2026, the lowest level since 2013”.Jan 12, 2026
Reuters"For the end of 2026 the consensus estimate of analysts in a central bank survey pointed to a yearly inflation rate of 20.1%."May 08, 2026
Trading Economics"Argentina's annual inflation rate is not expected to fall below 20% in 2026, as the lowest forecasted rate is 27% in Q2/27."Sep 11, 2026
Reuters"They now expect inflation to end the year at 30.5%, according to the median forecast of analysts, up 1.4 percentage points from their prior forecast."Jun 04, 2026
Buenos Aires Herald"For 2026, the market expects yearly inflation to drop further, to around 20%."May 08, 2026
Buenos Aires Times"IMF technicians also predicted that Argentina’s inflation this year will close out the year at 30.5 percent."Apr 14, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 7.4.1