Metaculus

Metaculus

Metaculus is a forecasting platform and community based in the United States that aggregates predictions on science, technology, politics, and other topics to generate probabilistic forecasts.

Election issues

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MINIMAL REGULATIONSTRICT REGULATION
Where Do Candidates Stand on AI Regulation?
ELECTION ISSUE
UNIVERSAL HEALTH CAREMARKET-BASED HEALTH CARE
Where Do Candidates Stand on Health Care?
ELECTION ISSUE

Claims from Metaculus

Metaculus
Metaculus"There is a 9.6% chance that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal before April 27, 2026."
Metaculus
Metaculus"There is a 22% chance that there will be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027."
Metaculus
Metaculus"There is a 50% chance the US government will enter a shutdown before February 1, 2026."
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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.4.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1