Controversy
Status:Resolved

When Will the UK General Election Take Place?

Resolution:

July 4, 2024

Resolved on May 22, 2024

Emily Thornberry
David Davis
Michael Gove
Polly Mackenzie
Robert Hayward
John Curtice
Natasha Clark
Jonathan Ashworth
+3
MAY 2024JANUARY 2025

Claims

Robert Hayward
Robert HaywardThe election will be in "October and it’s to do with inflation figures.”May 24, 2023
Emily Thornberry
Emily ThornberryA May election is "the worst kept secret in Parliament."Dec 28, 2023
Jonathan Ashworth
Jonathan Ashworth"[T]his election I think is coming in May. I think it's definitely coming in May."Mar 05, 2024
Michael Gove
Michael Gove"I think November the 14th or 21st."Mar 28, 2024
Rishi Sunak
Rishi Sunak"[M]y working assumption is we'll have a general election in the second half of this year."Jan 04, 2024
Steve McCabe
Steve McCabeThe government's defense increase was pulled "out of thin air" and are pretending they "can do it by making civil servants redundant."Jun 04, 2024
Robert Hayward
Robert HaywardThe general election will "probably [be] on 14 November or around that date."Jan 05, 2024
Peter Mandelson
Peter Mandelson"I'm concluding that Rishi Sunak wants his two years in Number 10. That means the Autumn."May 21, 2024
Daniel Finkelstein
Daniel FinkelsteinWhen I suggested May, I thought "that the economy might be better in May, and get worse, but I don't think that's now going to happen. I still think October/November."May 21, 2024
Polly Mackenzie
Polly Mackenzie"I think it's between, for me, October and January, but, if I was betting, I'd just imagine them dragging it out until the last possible moment."Oct 31, 2023
John Curtice
John Curtice"[T]here is beginning to be a consensus it might be November 14."Jan 05, 2024
Natasha Clark
Natasha Clark"I think it will be... the 17th [of October]."Mar 19, 2024
David Davis
David DavisThe election is "going to go distant, sometime in November, maybe even December."Apr 26, 2024
Jon Sopel
Jon Sopel"There's not going to be a summer election... particularly now the plot against Rishi has stopped."May 07, 2024
George Osborne
George Osborne"November the 14th kind of writes itself."Jan 11, 2024
Peter Mandelson
Peter Mandelson"On the basis that Turkeys don't vote for an early Christmas, I suppose projecting next May is sort of unrealistic, but I'm going to stick with it."Oct 31, 2023
Daniel Finkelstein
Daniel Finkelstein"I think they should call it in May, but I suspect they will call it in October. I don't think they'll want to go all the way to January."Oct 31, 2023
John Curtice
John Curtice"I have long been of the view that the election will be on November 14."May 02, 2024


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