US and Qatar Block Iran from $6B Fund for Prisoner Swap

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The Facts

  • According to a US official, the US and Qatar have come to an agreement that Iran will not be able to access the $6B in Iranian funds that were unblocked as part of a prisoner swap in September.

  • In September, the US — via negotiations mediated by Qatar and represented by Switzerland — agreed to swap five Iranian citizens and transfer $6B from South Korea to be held by Qatar on Iran's behalf in exchange for five US citizens.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Iran must be treated as a threat, which is why this is a sound policy by both Qatar and the US. Iran continues to not only fund Hamas but also Hezbollah in Lebanon, as well as various Russian mercenaries. Alongside the clear success of returning five US citizens, the US must remind Iran that its international and domestic behavior must align with international values.

Establishment-critical narrative

Rumors concerning Iran's freed funds are baseless. The US does not hold the power to block the funds that rightfully belong to Tehran. The spreading of such a narrative merely discredits the legitimacy of any news outlet that decides to promote the story.


Metaculus Prediction


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Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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