EU: September 2023 the Most Anomalously Warm Month in Recorded History

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The Facts

  • According to the EU's climate monitor, the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), last month showed unprecedented temperature anomalies and was by an "extraordinary" margin the hottest September on record. The study further noted that 2023 is on track to be the warmest year on record.

  • C3S data shows that September's average surface air temperature was 16.38° C (61.5° F) — 0.93° C higher than the month's 1991-2020 average and 0.5° C higher than the previous record, as the globe flirts with the breach of a benchmark warming limit.


The Spin

Narrative A

Despite the international agreement signed in Paris eight years ago, the world is still far from meeting its targets of slowing global warming. Droughts, fires, melting ice caps, and other natural disasters are becoming more frequent. COP28 must now be placed front and center, with the top priority of getting our planet back on track. The Earth still has a chance, so it's up to the governments of every country to listen to the demands of their people.

Narrative B

Climate and environmental disasters have been inaccurately predicted by modern-day doomsayers for decades. None of the apocalyptic predictions have come true so far, and this time is no different. Even according to the UN's climate tzar, this type of apocalyptic rhetoric paralyzes people with fear, which actually deters them from taking action rather than giving them hope for a better future. The climate is changing, but fear mongering is not the way to persuade the world to take action.


Metaculus Prediction