This tariff finally levels the playing field after decades of Mexican producers illegally dumping tomatoes below fair market prices. American farmers have watched their market share plummet from 80% to 30% since 1996 while Mexican imports increased 400%. The suspension agreements repeatedly failed to stop these unfair practices that devastated the domestic industry. Under President Trump’s leadership, America will now compete on a level playing field and come out ahead once again.
Trump’s 17% tariff on Mexican tomatoes is a reckless move that threatens jobs and economic stability across the U.S when American families are already struggling with inflation. The tomato trade supports 50,000 jobs nationwide and generates $8.3 billion in economic impact. This decision will devastate workers in Arizona and Texas, where the trade is particularly vital. Worse, it risks derailing future USMCA negotiations, with Mexico warning retaliation is on the table — further complicating trade relations.
There's a 20% chance that the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will be extended promptly at its July 2026 joint review, according to the Metaculus prediction community.