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Decades of draconian population controls — dismissing state workers for third children, expelling Party members for "excess" births — have engineered Vietnam into a demographic trap. Now, with fertility plummeting to 1.91 children per woman, the authoritarian architects of family limitation confront their own creation: a nation racing toward demographic collapse.
There is a 50% chance that 4.8 communist states will be there in 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.