Joe Biden

Tsai Ing-wen

John Mearsheimer

William Burns

Marco Rubio

Metaculus

Michael McCaul

Lai Ching-te

Philip S. Davidson

Ministry of National Defense of Taiwan

Bonnie S. Glaser

Mark Milley

Charles Glaser

Denny Roy

Mike Studeman

Oriana Skylar Mastro

Henry Olsen

Mike Minihan

Lyle Goldstein

Bates Gill

Minghao Zhao

Yun Sun

"I don't think that Xi Jinping is going to attack Taiwan any time soon."

"Beijing's main goal is to deter Taiwan independence, rather than realize military reunification."

"There's no indications or warnings of anything imminent [China attacking Taiwan] at this time."

A Chinese takeover of Taiwan "is not inevitable nor, perhaps, even likely in the next few years."

"My thought is that perhaps this is not a time for [China] to consider a major invasion of Taiwan."

"[T]here might indeed be some greater willingness by Beijing to coerce (or even invade) Taiwan during a Trump administration."

China is "more likely to resort to the use of force" if it "perceives a higher likelihood of U.S. support of Taiwan independence."

"An invasion of Taiwan could happen within this decade."

"I think the threat [of China seizing Taiwan] is manifest during this decade, in fact in the next six years."

"Xi's team, reason, and opportunity are all aligned for [a] 2025 [invasion of Taiwan]."

Will China Invade Taiwan?

<h2></h2>

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Taiwan President Lai Ching-te commemorated the 36th anniversary of the Tiananmen Square crackdown on Wednesday, with both leaders emphasizing that the world will never forget the events of 1989 despite Chinese government censorship efforts.

State

Guardian

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Taiwan President Lai Ching-te commemorated the 36th anniversary of the Tiananmen Square crackdown on Wednesday, with both leaders emphasizing that the world will never forget the events of 1989 despite Chinese government censorship efforts.

On June 4, 1989, Chinese troops opened fire on pro-democracy protesters in and around Tiananmen Square, with activists estimating hundreds to thousands were killed, though China has never provided an official death toll and continues to treat the date as taboo.

The Japan Times

Associated Press

On June 4, 1989, Chinese troops opened fire on pro-democracy protesters in and around Tiananmen Square, with activists estimating hundreds to thousands were killed, though China has never provided an official death toll and continues to treat the date as taboo.

Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee warned that authorities would take stringent action against any activities threatening national security ahead of the anniversary, while police maintained a heavy presence around Victoria Park, where annual vigils were previously held.

Reuters

South China Morning Post

Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee warned that authorities would take stringent action against any activities threatening national security ahead of the anniversary, while police maintained a heavy presence around Victoria Park, where annual vigils were previously held.

A new report by Article 19 found that China engages in systematic transnational repression targeting overseas critics, particularly around sensitive dates like June 4, with Freedom House research showing China responsible for 30% of recorded physical transnational repression acts since 2014.</span

A new report by Article 19 found that China engages in systematic transnational repression targeting overseas critics, particularly around sensitive dates like June 4, with Freedom House research showing China responsible for 30% of recorded physical transnational repression acts since 2014.

The Tiananmen Mothers group, representing relatives of victims, issued their annual statement calling for an independent investigation and public accounting of the 1989 events, with 88-year-old founding member Zhang Xianling saying she still lives under close surveillance.</span

The Tiananmen Mothers group, representing relatives of victims, issued their annual statement calling for an independent investigation and public accounting of the 1989 events, with 88-year-old founding member Zhang Xianling saying she still lives under close surveillance.

Taiwan hosted public commemorations, including a candlelight vigil in Taipei's Freedom Square, while Hong Kong authorities held a pro-Beijing food carnival at Victoria Park for the third consecutive year, replacing the previously permitted annual vigils that were banned after 2020.

Taiwan hosted public commemorations, including a candlelight vigil in Taipei's Freedom Square, while Hong Kong authorities held a pro-Beijing food carnival at Victoria Park for the third consecutive year, replacing the previously permitted annual vigils that were banned after 2020.

Chinese troops opened fire on pro-democracy protesters in and around Tiananmen Square on June 4, 1989, with activists estimating hundreds to thousands were killed, though China has never provided an official death toll and continues to treat the date as taboo.</span

The Japan Times #

Associated Press #

Chinese troops opened fire on pro-democracy protesters in and around Tiananmen Square on June 4, 1989, with activists estimating hundreds to thousands were killed, though China has never provided an official death toll and continues to treat the date as taboo.

Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee warned that authorities would take stringent action against any activities threatening national security ahead of the anniversary, while police maintained heavy presence around Victoria Park where annual vigils were previously held.</span

Reuters #

South China Morning Post #

Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee warned that authorities would take stringent action against any activities threatening national security ahead of the anniversary, while police maintained heavy presence around Victoria Park where annual vigils were previously held.

Guardian #8

Taiwan hosted public commemorations including a candlelight vigil in Taipei's Freedom Square, while Hong Kong authorities held a pro-Beijing food carnival at Victoria Park for the third consecutive year, replacing the previously permitted annual vigils that were banned after 2020.</span

Taiwan hosted public commemorations including a candlelight vigil in Taipei's Freedom Square, while Hong Kong authorities held a pro-Beijing food carnival at Victoria Park for the third consecutive year, replacing the previously permitted annual vigils that were banned after 2020.

The events of 1989 were necessary to maintain China's stability and economic development, which has lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty since then. The government's firm response to political turmoil allowed China to focus on economic reforms that have benefited the entire nation. Current restrictions on commemorative activities are lawful measures to protect national security and prevent foreign interference in domestic affairs.

The events of 1989 were necessary to maintain China's stability and economic development, which has lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty since then. The government's firm response to political turmoil allowed China to focus on economic reforms that have benefited the entire nation. Current restrictions on commemorative activities are lawful measures to protect national security and prevent foreign interference in domestic affairs.

A quiet Tiananmen Square anniversary displays Chinas ability to suppress history

Hong Kong will take action against illegal acts, John Lee says ahead of June 4

The US-China Conflict

World Marks 36th Anniversary of Tiananmen Square Crackdown

The Tiananmen Square massacre represents an ongoing struggle for democracy and human rights that authoritarian regimes desperately try to erase from history. Democratic societies have a moral obligation to preserve the truth and honor those who sacrificed their lives for freedom. China's systematic censorship and transnational repression only prove how threatened the Communist Party remains by the memory of brave protesters who dared to demand basic human rights.

The Tiananmen Square massacre represents an ongoing struggle for democracy and human rights that authoritarian regimes desperately try to erase from history. Democratic societies have a moral obligation to preserve the truth and honor those who sacrificed their lives for freedom. China's systematic censorship and transnational repression only prove how threatened the Communist Party remains by the memory of brave protesters who dared to demand basic human rights.

World won’t forget Tiananmen Square, US and Taiwan say on 36th anniversary of massacre

World Marks 36th Anniversary of Tiananmen Square Crackdown

World Marks 36th Anniversary of Tiananmen Square Crackdown

The Spin

The Controversies

Mearsheimer

Zhao

Milley

Glaser

Ing-wen

Goldstein

Sun

Rubio

Davidson

Minihan

Go Deeper

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

World Marks 36th Anniversary of Tiananmen Square Crackdown

World Marks 36th Anniversary of Tiananmen Square Crackdown

The Spin

The Controversies

Mearsheimer

Zhao

Milley

Glaser

Ing-wen

Goldstein

Sun

Rubio

Davidson

Minihan

Go Deeper

Sign Up for Our Free NewslettersSign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters