Above: Former Brazil's Pres. Jair Bolsonaro speaks to supporters during a protest against the country's ban of X, the social media platform formerly known as Twitter, on Paulista Avenue in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on Saturday, Sept. 7, 2024.Image credit: *** GETTY *** Maira Erlich/Bloomberg via Getty Images
There's a 44.1% chance that Pres. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.